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nonc 的跟单档案 · 总盈亏 +$0K · Marlin
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N
nonc
+$27
0xf804…d2b7
跟单
总盈亏(全期)
+$27
近30天
+$2
持仓胜率
80%
持仓市值
$51
持仓数
10
最大回撤
-$12
累计盈亏曲线(全期)
$30
$0
-$2
1/6
7/27
胜率为当前持仓中盈利的比例(实时按现价计算),非历史结算胜率;仅供参考。近30天盈利可能大于全期总盈亏——因为更早期的亏损也计入全期。
当前持仓
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes · 85¢
$26
+$21
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No · 89¢
$7
+$1
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Yes · 57¢
$4
−$1
数据来自公开链上记录,约 1 分钟延迟。历史盈利不代表未来表现。
nonc
跟单
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · 85¢
$3
+$2
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes · 72¢
$3
+$1
AI bubble burst in 2026?
No · 82¢
$2
+$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Yes · 12¢
$2
−$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No · 100¢
$2
+$1
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No · 81¢
$1
+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Yes · 89¢
$1
+$0
近期成交
卖
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
58.1¢ · $3
12d
卖
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41.9¢ · $2
12d
买
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
37.0¢ · $1
19d
买
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
72.0¢ · $1
20d
买
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
45.0¢ · $1
20d
买
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
87.0¢ · $1
22d
买
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
23.0¢ · $1
22d
买
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
80.1¢ · $1
22d
买
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18.5¢ · $1
30d
卖
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
72.0¢ · $2
40d
买
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
81.0¢ · $1
46d
买
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16.1¢ · $1
46d
买
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17.0¢ · $1
46d
买
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
56.0¢ · $1
46d
买
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
49.0¢ · $1
46d