Marlin
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聪明钱
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持仓
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持仓
聪明钱
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P
probability
+$103.7K
0x74f1…16a8
跟单
总盈亏(全期)
+$103.7K
近30天
−$12K
持仓胜率
38%
持仓市值
$110.8K
持仓数
96
最大回撤
-$66.5K
累计盈亏曲线(全期)
$170.3K
$0
-$23.8K
11/28
7/25
胜率为当前持仓中盈利的比例(实时按现价计算),非历史结算胜率;仅供参考。近30天盈利可能大于全期总盈亏——因为更早期的亏损也计入全期。
当前持仓
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No · 96¢
$91.3K
+$43.8K
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes · 4¢
$3.7K
−$43.8K
N
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No · 73¢
$2.5K
+$122
数据来自公开链上记录,约 1 分钟延迟。历史盈利不代表未来表现。
probability
跟单
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
Yes · 68¢
$1.5K
−$151
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes · 42¢
$1.2K
+$315
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?
Yes · 79¢
$1.1K
−$96
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
No · 4¢
$901
−$526
Y
Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
Yes · 79¢
$842
+$451
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · 59¢
$735
−$6
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Yes · 74¢
$735
−$13
N
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No · 65¢
$730
+$119
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
No · 98¢
$503
+$3
近期成交
买
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
53.0¢ · $3
14m
买
Will Valentin Paret-Peintre be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
9.0¢ · $0
18m
买
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
68.0¢ · $85
35m
买
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
3.8¢ · $4
38m
买
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
4.1¢ · $1
40m
买
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
4.1¢ · $2
40m
买
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
4.1¢ · $1
40m
买
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
4.1¢ · $9
42m
买
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
4.1¢ · $4
42m
买
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
4.1¢ · $1
42m
买
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
4.1¢ · $2
48m
买
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
34.0¢ · $0
3h
买
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
12.2¢ · $1
4h
买
Will Valentin Paret-Peintre be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
9.0¢ · $1
5h
买
Will Valentin Paret-Peintre be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
9.0¢ · $1
5h
probability 的跟单档案 · 总盈亏 +$104K · Marlin