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moonrise-clump 的跟单档案 · 总盈亏 −$0K · Marlin
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M
moonrise-clump
0x48c4…19e5
跟单
总盈亏(全期)
−$3
近30天
−$23
持仓胜率
74%
持仓市值
$683
持仓数
160
最大回撤
-$65
累计盈亏曲线(全期)
$25
$0
-$52
1/26
7/25
胜率为当前持仓中盈利的比例(实时按现价计算),非历史结算胜率;仅供参考。近30天盈利可能大于全期总盈亏——因为更早期的亏损也计入全期。
当前持仓
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No · 94¢
$36
+$1
N
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
No · 93¢
$34
−$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes · 70¢
$16
−$4
数据来自公开链上记录,约 1 分钟延迟。历史盈利不代表未来表现。
moonrise-clump
跟单
N
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
No · 69¢
$14
−$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No · 87¢
$12
+$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No · 90¢
$11
+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No · 99¢
$11
+$1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No · 98¢
$10
+$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes · 86¢
$10
+$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes · 86¢
$10
−$0
N
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
No · 91¢
$10
−$0
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?
No · 87¢
$10
−$0
近期成交
买
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
55.0¢ · $1
21h
买
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?
88.1¢ · $5
21h
买
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
34.0¢ · $1
21h
买
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
95.8¢ · $7
21h
买
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
71.0¢ · $2
21h
买
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?
86.0¢ · $2
21h
买
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
69.9¢ · $5
21h
买
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
86.0¢ · $5
21h
买
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?
89.0¢ · $5
21h
买
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
72.0¢ · $5
21h
买
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
80.0¢ · $3
21h
买
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
42.0¢ · $3
21h
买
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
84.0¢ · $10
21h
买
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
86.0¢ · $5
21h
买
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
72.9¢ · $3
21h